RISKLAB

YUKKA 

RISK LAB

 

Realtime, actionable risk signals and assessments for +4 million entities including public and private companies worldwide

Next-level risk management

The COVID Pandemic and the Ukraine Crisis have shown that the world spins faster than structured data can reflect, making them a picture of the past. 

 

With YUKKA Lab`s real-time risk scores based on unstructured news data, we are about to change that and propel your risk management to the next level.

COUNTERPARTY 
SCREENING

Risk officers can utilize a clear cockpit monitoring their relevant set of companies, topics & industries.

REALTIME 
ALERTS

Get notified immediately of adverse news, events and developments that could lead to deteriorating creditworthiness of counterparties.

GLOBAL COVERAGE & AUTOMATED EXPANSION

Our engine automatically indexes every new company or person mentioned in major news events around the globe.

RISK SCORE

Customized risk scores for your business: Use 50+ risk specific news events in customised risk scores to help identify the highest risks within your portfolio, so you can focus on the right client and respond.

CREDIT RISK

We examine risks from every angle including long-term trends, blackswan events, sector risks to asses the overall risk and future credit risk of a company based on the news.

SANCTIONED ENTITIES & PEP CHECK

Our engine constantly monitors for exposure of persons or companies in sanctions lists worldwide and flags them when they get tagged into a sanction list or PEP list.

PREDICTIVE EVALUATION

Prediction models for upcoming risk & rating changes: Predict credit rating changes of a company well in advance based on real-time news & risk events.

50+ Risk Events

 

With more than 50 risk events, the RISK Lab event cluster covers all major risk areas. To address individual areas of interest it  can be flexibly customized and extended.

  

FROM EVENT TO SCORE

 

To enable augmented risk management, we create actionable scores based on unstructured real-time news data. Iterative evaluation and improvement of the score fine tune the calibration and increase its accuracy, either based on statistical approaches or, if suitable, on ML models.

 

Risk-Proof your Portfolio

From counterparty screening to constant real-time monitoring of relevant entities, the risk analysis process with RISK Lab from YUKKA Lab covers all necessary steps to give you full control of your risk management.

Our system compliments traditional fundamental analysis methods with state-of-the-art AI and machine learning technology based on real-time data. 

Counterparty Screening

everything in focus right from the start

Instant overview of top stories and events affecting the counterparty and related entities as well exposure to sanction or sanctioned parties.

Fundamental Analysis

the traditional method

Traditional analysis of cash flow, debt covenants and business performance.

News Based Risk Analysis

the AI method

Smart news- based risk indicators and predictive credit models provide a holistic risk assessment based on company, macro and country trends.

Portfolio Risk Management

risk-proof entire portfolios

Signals to assess overall geopolitical and sector risk that could systematically affect portfolios.

Real-Time Counterparty Risk Monitoring

your personal risk radar

Realtime risk signals that can be set-up to alert you and proactively informs of upcoming risks.

Case Study: Evergrande

Shenzhen-based Evergrande Group, the world’s most valuable real estate company from 2018 to 2021, ran into financial trouble in mid-2021 due to high debt: as of 30 June 2021, the company had liabilities of 1.96 trillion renminbi (277 billion euros). 

 

In September 2021, the rating agency Fitch lowered its long-term rating for Evergrande from CCC+ to CC due to high debt and the risk of imminent defaults.

The share price fell by 95% within five months as a result of the crisis. On 20 September 2021, the share price plunged again by up to 19% to its lowest level in over 11 years. The share price reached the lowest level since May 2010 at the equivalent of € 0.225. 

 

The decline in Evergrande’s share price, combined with fears of a real estate bubble in China, also led to price losses on the stock exchanges in the United States, among others.

Early Warning Risk Alert

 

Risk Score spiked on 12 July 2021 as a result of a liquidity alarm.

Credit Rating Downgrade 

 

Fitch downgraded Evergrande from CCC+ to CC, 2 months after the Risk Score spiked.

Missed Bond Payments

 

Defaults continue as Evergrande misses bond payments.

Case Study: Macy’s

Macy’s  is an American chain of department stores. As of 2015, Macy’s was the largest U.S. department store company by retail sales. Its flagship store is located at Herald Square in the New York City borough of Manhattan.

 

The company had 130,000 employees and earned annual revenue of $24.8 billion as of 2017. By February 2019, Macy’s Inc. was operating 867 stores.

In November 2018, Macy’s announced they would test smaller “neighborhood” stores to reduce costs and promote innovation within the customer experience realm. In the second quarter of 2019, Macy’s shares fell more than 13 percent. On August 14, shares hit $15.82, which was their lowest since February 2010.

1-Yr Early Warning Credit Risk

 

Following Macy’s restructuring plans, weak holidays sales and weakness in the retail sector – YUKKA’s Credit Risk score rises in April 2019.

Lowered Sales Guidance

 

Macy’s lowered its annual earnings guidance after a big earnings miss during 2nd quarter, further increasing the credit risk score in Aug 2019.

Store Closure in 2020

 

Macy’s announces the closing of 29 stores nationwide in Jan 2020 due to weak holiday sales and poor store performance, further increasing risk.

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    MORE YUKKA LAB ANALYTICS SOLUTIONS:

    NEWS LAB

    Unique news trend overview

    INVEST LAB

    Better investment decisions

    ESG LAB

    Real-time ESG Scores

    REST API

    Custom analytics integration